Standings

AS OF MD 1 · MODEL COLUMNS FROM 10,000 SEASON SIMULATIONS

Points are facts. The percentages are me — hold them against me in May.

#	CLUB	TOP SEED	TOP 8	OUT
1	AEKAEK Athens	0.5%	7.5%	52.0%
2	ARSArsenal	9.3%	50.0%	9.0%
3	ATLAtlético Madrid	3.3%	27.7%	23.7%
4	AVLAston Villa	3.3%	28.1%	22.8%
5	BAYBayern München	10.7%	52.7%	7.8%
6	BETReal Betis	1.3%	16.1%	35.3%
7	BODBodø/Glimt	1.0%	13.3%	41.4%
8	BRUClub Brugge	1.3%	15.4%	37.9%
9	BVBBorussia Dortmund	3.4%	29.1%	20.6%
10	COMComo 1907	1.1%	14.8%	39.2%
11	FCBFC Barcelona	7.7%	45.4%	11.1%
12	FCPFC Porto	2.1%	21.8%	29.3%
13	FENFenerbahçe	1.4%	17.0%	35.7%
14	FEYFeyenoord	0.4%	8.1%	52.4%
15	GALGalatasaray	1.2%	16.2%	36.7%
16	INTInter Milan	6.0%	40.5%	14.2%
17	LILLille	1.0%	13.6%	40.0%
18	LINLASK	0.2%	5.4%	59.5%
19	LIVLiverpool	5.0%	34.9%	16.9%
20	MCIManchester City	7.4%	43.4%	12.1%
21	MUNManchester United	3.1%	27.2%	21.9%
22	NAPNapoli	2.3%	23.3%	27.6%
23	PSGParis Saint-Germain	5.4%	36.9%	15.6%
24	PSVPSV Eindhoven	1.3%	15.3%	38.1%
25	RBLRB Leipzig	1.7%	19.5%	31.7%
26	RCLRC Lens	1.3%	16.0%	36.4%
27	RMAReal Madrid	7.3%	42.7%	12.1%
28	ROMAS Roma	2.2%	21.4%	28.9%
29	SABSabah FK	<0.1%	1.4%	81.1%
30	SBASlovan Bratislava	0.1%	2.9%	70.9%
31	SHDShakhtar Donetsk	0.4%	9.0%	51.4%
32	SLPSlavia Praha	0.9%	11.2%	45.2%
33	SPOSporting CP	2.3%	23.9%	26.9%
34	VFBVfB Stuttgart	2.5%	23.8%	26.8%
35	VIKViking FK	0.5%	7.6%	53.0%
36	VILVillarreal	1.3%	17.0%	34.7%

T = TOP SEED · 8 = TOP 8 · R = OUT

1AEKAEK0T 0.58 7.5R 52.0

2ARSArsenal0T 9.38 50.0R 9.0

3ATLAtlético0T 3.38 27.7R 23.7

4AVLAston Villa0T 3.38 28.1R 22.8

5BAYBayern0T 10.78 52.7R 7.8

6BETBetis0T 1.38 16.1R 35.3

7BODBodø/Glimt0T 1.08 13.3R 41.4

8BRUBrugge0T 1.38 15.4R 37.9

9BVBDortmund0T 3.48 29.1R 20.6

10COMComo0T 1.18 14.8R 39.2

11FCBBarcelona0T 7.78 45.4R 11.1

12FCPPorto0T 2.18 21.8R 29.3

13FENFenerbahçe0T 1.48 17.0R 35.7

14FEYFeyenoord0T 0.48 8.1R 52.4

15GALGalatasaray0T 1.28 16.2R 36.7

16INTInter0T 6.08 40.5R 14.2

17LILLille0T 1.08 13.6R 40.0

18LINLASK0T 0.28 5.4R 59.5

19LIVLiverpool0T 5.08 34.9R 16.9

20MCIMan City0T 7.48 43.4R 12.1

21MUNMan United0T 3.18 27.2R 21.9

22NAPNapoli0T 2.38 23.3R 27.6

23PSGPSG0T 5.48 36.9R 15.6

24PSVPSV0T 1.38 15.3R 38.1

25RBLRB Leipzig0T 1.78 19.5R 31.7

26RCLLens0T 1.38 16.0R 36.4

27RMAReal Madrid0T 7.38 42.7R 12.1

28ROMRoma0T 2.28 21.4R 28.9

29SABSabah0T <0.18 1.4R 81.1

30SBASlovan0T 0.18 2.9R 70.9

31SHDShakhtar0T 0.48 9.0R 51.4

32SLPSlavia0T 0.98 11.2R 45.2

33SPOSporting0T 2.38 23.9R 26.9

34VFBStuttgart0T 2.58 23.8R 26.8

35VIKViking0T 0.58 7.6R 53.0

36VILVillarreal0T 1.38 17.0R 34.7