Standings

AS OF MW 1 · MODEL COLUMNS FROM 10,000 SEASON SIMULATIONS

Points are facts. The percentages are me — hold them against me in May.

#	CLUB	TITLE	TOP 4	RELEGATION
1	ARSArsenal	49.8%	86.9%	<0.1%
2	AVLAston Villa	7.8%	40.8%	0.6%
3	BHABrighton & Hove Albion	1.6%	16.3%	4.1%
4	BOUAFC Bournemouth	3.0%	24.2%	2.2%
5	BREBrentford	1.4%	14.8%	4.9%
6	CHEChelsea	1.4%	13.3%	5.4%
7	COVCoventry City	—	0.5%	50.8%
8	CRYCrystal Palace	0.9%	8.6%	8.5%
9	EVEEverton	0.8%	9.1%	8.3%
10	FULFulham	0.8%	10.0%	7.5%
11	HULHull City	—	—	89.4%
12	IPSIpswich Town	—	0.2%	59.4%
13	LEELeeds United	0.5%	7.5%	9.2%
14	LIVLiverpool	6.1%	36.6%	1.1%
15	MCIManchester City	16.5%	59.5%	0.2%
16	MUNManchester United	6.6%	38.0%	0.8%
17	NEWNewcastle United	1.1%	14.5%	4.9%
18	NOTNottingham Forest	1.1%	11.9%	6.2%
19	SUNSunderland	0.1%	2.4%	23.7%
20	TOTTottenham Hotspur	0.4%	5.1%	12.9%

T = TITLE · 4 = TOP 4 · R = RELEGATION

1ARS0T 49.84 86.9R <0.1

2AVL0T 7.84 40.8R 0.6

3BHA0T 1.64 16.3R 4.1

4BOU0T 3.04 24.2R 2.2

5BRE0T 1.44 14.8R 4.9

6CHE0T 1.44 13.3R 5.4

7COV0T —4 0.5R 50.8

8CRY0T 0.94 8.6R 8.5

9EVE0T 0.84 9.1R 8.3

10FUL0T 0.84 10.0R 7.5

11HUL0T —4 —R 89.4

12IPS0T —4 0.2R 59.4

13LEE0T 0.54 7.5R 9.2

14LIV0T 6.14 36.6R 1.1

15MCI0T 16.54 59.5R 0.2

16MUN0T 6.64 38.0R 0.8

17NEW0T 1.14 14.5R 4.9

18NOT0T 1.14 11.9R 6.2

19SUN0T 0.14 2.4R 23.7

20TOT0T 0.44 5.1R 12.9